Economic Journal Watch has a new article by Buturovic and Klein on economic enlightenment and political ideology that is generating a lot of commentary. Their conclusion is that self-described "progressives" are much less enlightened when it comes to economics than conservatives or libertarians. I'm somewhat of an agnostic on these findings. I would by no means consider them conclusive - there are massive problems with the paper (which is ironic, since EJW was intended as a journal to raise scientific standards in economics), but I'm certainly willing to entertain the idea that liberals aren't as "economically enlightened". Ultimately, a great deal of political disagreements come down to normative differences rather than positive differences. However, people often have a hard time differentiating between normative and positive positions. Since conservatives and libertarians generally hold normative positions that aren't in as great conflict with the positive conclusions of economics, if they are unable to separate their normative views from their positive understandings, it shows up in the survey as "economic enlightenment". If liberals have an equally hard time separating their normative from their positive views, it will show up as a lack of enlightenment.
Tyler Cowen also raises an extremely important point. The eight questions asked here are largely microeconomic questions. If you had a similar survey with macroeconomic questions, I think conservatives and libertarians would prove relatively unenlightened and liberals would look more enlightened. Again, the reason for this isn't because liberals know more macroeconomics than conservatives. It's because the boilerplate liberal normative position conflicts less with positive economics on macroeconomic questions than the boilerplate conservative normative position.
Some of these were just bad questions. For example:
1. Restrictions on housing development make housing less affordable. (Unenlightened: Disagree)
What kind of restrictions? If it's low-income housing restrictions, that makes certain housing more affordable. Building codes can cut down on asymmetric information and lower costs for consumers. As a general rule, the enlightened answer would be to agree, but liberals are likely to raise extremely enlightened caveats that will get counted as unenlightened. The better question is:
4. Rent control leads to housing shortages. (Unenlightened: Disagree)
But even this has major problems. Shortages assume limited building space and rent control imposed on all housing. Without those assumptions (which generally don't hold true in the U.S.), rent control will result in lower turnover for people living in rent controlled apartments but shouldn't have a particularly strong effect on housing supply.
7. Free trade leads to unemployment. (Unenlightened: Agree)
This probably needs to be caveated considerably. Most research suggests that among the three populist unemployment boogey men of technological development, free trade, and immigration, only technological development appreciably impacts unemployment. But that doesn't mean that free trade doesn't have important displacement effects in certain industries. In my opinion, this question is too vague to be useful. Are we talking about short term or long term? Are we talking about concentrated unemployment (ie - in a region or sector)? Generally speaking, I would "disagree", but it's not an issue that's best captured in a five word question.
8. Minimum wage laws raise unemployment. (Unenlightened: Disagree)
Again, generally speaking I'd "agree", but this is way too general. There are solid arguments for why this isn't true in certain labor markets. And there's some very famous empirical evidence on this. I'm unconvinced by a lot of that pro-minimum wage empirical work, but I'm also unconvinced by people who attribtue all our unemployment problems to minimum wage laws. Still, I think it's fairly perverse to call someone "economically unenlightened" because they might be familiar with Card and Krueger.
Finally, these three questions shouldn't have even been in the paper:
3. Overall, the standard of living is higher today than it was 30 years ago. (Unenlightened: Disagree)
5. A company with the largest market share is a monopoly. (Unenlightened: Agree)
6. Third-world workers working for American companies overseas are being
exploited. (Unenlightened: Agree)
# 3 is probably OK, but it's a little ambiguous. Absolute mobility has been strong over the last 30 years. Relative mobility has weakened considerably, and inequality has increased (yes, yes, we all know that the family/individual distinction reduces some of that trend). The phrasing "standard of living" pretty clearly points to absolute mobility, but one has to ask (1.) will that be clear to readers, and (2.) why ask about absolute mobility rather than relative mobility or inequality - or why ask about "overall" conditions, rather than conditions for low-income families? The deck seems pretty consciously stacked. If a different phenomenon had been asked about along these same lines the results could be completely different -that doesn't make for very robust or credible results.
# 5 and # 6 are terrible questions. They don't rely on economic enlightenment at all, and instead rely on the reader's definition of "monopoly" and "exploitation". The sixth question is by far the worst. This isn't a question of economics, it's a question of fact. Maybe companies are beating and raping their workers overseas. Maybe they're cheating them. A respondent's cognizance of these conditions or their ethical understanding of what's going on overseas has nothing at all to do with the economics of multinational corporations.
So some of these questions are good and some are bad, but ultimately I think the survey generates more heat than light. It's not very convincing as evidence itself, although I think their underlying argument is plausible. Ultimately, I guess what bothers me most is that what is called "enlightened" here is actually the most general, introductory, un-nuanced, rule of thumb version of all these issues. To me, that's not really "enlightenment".
It's an interesting paper, but I hope nobody takes too much out of these results. I guess I just find it unfortunate that they even took the time to write this up. I would have looked at the survey and said "wow - this data is essentialy useless" before analyzing or writing anything. I'm kind of curious why they didn't have the same reaction.
Air Conditioning and the Rise of the South
17 hours ago